Zürich IIvs
Grand-Saconnex
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · 1. Liga Promotion · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grand-Saconnex · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zürich II 1-2 Grand-Saconnex
Original prediction
Grand-Saconnex
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.86 | 31.1% | 30.9% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.5% | 26.3% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 45.3% | 42.8% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Grand-Saconnex
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Grand-Saconnex has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40