GGOALVIO

Switzerland · 1. Liga Promotion · 10/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zürich II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Zürich II 2-2 Breitenrain

Original prediction

Zürich II

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 15:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0643.8%42.3%-1.4 pts
Draw3.6024.9%26.5%1.6 pts
Away2.8731.3%31.2%-0.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–27%

Predicted outcome

Zürich II

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Zürich II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zürich IIWLDLL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
BreitenrainWDLLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Zürich IIBreitenrain
60.0Attack43.3
40.0Defence50.0
46.7Form46.7
49.5Power48.8
1.97xG1.45
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