GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Premier League · 8/6/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kryvbas KR · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Zorya Luhansk are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kryvbas KR are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kryvbas KR hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Premier League, while Kryvbas KR holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kryvbas KR

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Kryvbas KR has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zorya LuhanskLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kryvbas KRLLDLL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Zorya LuhanskKryvbas KR
32.2Attack66.7
58.9Defence83.3
35.6Form100.0
44.7Power86.5
0.74xG1.24
View match centre →