Premier LeaguePremier League
Friday, 31 July 202616:00Updated today
Zorya Luhansk

Zorya Luhansk

Home
L
vs
16:00
Kolos Kovalivka

Kolos Kovalivka

Away
W
Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Zorya Luhansk(41%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Zorya Luhansk
41%
Draw
24%
Kolos Kovalivka
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Zorya Luhansk
34
Kolos Kovalivka
73
Defence
Zorya Luhansk
27
Kolos Kovalivka
91
Momentum
Zorya Luhansk
0
Kolos Kovalivka
100
Danger (xG)
Zorya Luhansk
0.90
Kolos Kovalivka
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Zorya Luhansk)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Kolos Kovalivka)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Zorya Luhansk)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Kolos Kovalivka)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Zorya LuhanskZorya Luhansk
LW
Kolos KovalivkaKolos Kovalivka
WLL

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Zorya Luhansk41%
Draw24%
Kolos Kovalivka35%

Zorya Luhansk leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Zorya Luhansk head into this in Premier League fixture at Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho in mixed form (L), while Kolos Kovalivka arrive in mixed form (W). Zorya Luhansk have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Kolos Kovalivka over 1 games.

Tactically, Kolos Kovalivka hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Zorya Luhansk defence (27/100), while Zorya Luhansk's attack faces a watertight Kolos Kovalivka backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Zorya Luhansk have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Kolos Kovalivka have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Zorya Luhansk and Kolos Kovalivka in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Zorya Luhansk to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Zorya Luhansk 4125%, Draw 2356%, Kolos Kovalivka 3519%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Zorya Luhansk

Zorya Luhansk

L
vs Konyaspor
15 Jul 2026
12
W
@ Oleksandria
12 May 2026
21
Kolos Kovalivka

Kolos Kovalivka

W
vs Kudrivka
17 Jul 2026
20
L
vs Obolon'-Brovar
17 May 2026
02
L
@ Dynamo Kyiv
13 May 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

GoalVio's model predicts Zorya Luhansk to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more