GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Premier League · 8/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zorya Luhansk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Zorya Luhansk are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FC Kharkiv are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Zorya Luhansk hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 35.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Premier League, while Zorya Luhansk holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Zorya Luhansk

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

14.9%

Zorya Luhansk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zorya LuhanskLLDLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Metalist 1925 KharkivLLLLD

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Zorya LuhanskMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
32.2Attack35.6
58.9Defence36.7
35.6Form25.6
44.7Power35.7
1.34xG0.78
View match centre →