Zorya Luhanskvs
FC Kharkiv
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 8/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zorya Luhansk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zorya Luhansk 0-3 FC Kharkiv
Original prediction
Zorya Luhansk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.08 | 29.7% | 45.6% | 15.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.7% | 26.3% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 41.6% | 28.1% | -13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Zorya Luhansk
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Zorya Luhansk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60