Zorya Luhanskvs
Dynamo Kyiv
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 9/19/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dynamo Kyiv · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zorya Luhansk 0-2 Dynamo Kyiv
Original prediction
Dynamo Kyiv
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.05 | 18.2% | 28.9% | 10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 23.2% | 26.7% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.57 | 58.6% | 44.4% | -14.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Dynamo Kyiv
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Dynamo Kyiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80