Zorya Luhanskvs
Chornomorets
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 10/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zorya Luhansk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Zorya Luhansk 0-0 Chornomorets, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Zorya Luhansk 2-1 Chornomorets
Original prediction
Zorya Luhansk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 59.2% | 47.6% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 24.1% | 27.8% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 5.53 | 16.7% | 24.6% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.6 pts
Projected Score
Zorya Luhansk 0–0 Chornomorets
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Zorya Luhansk
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Zorya Luhansk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00