David Kipiani CupDavid Kipiani Cup
Thursday, 25 June 2026Last updated 12:36
Zooveti

Zooveti

Home
L
02
Full time
Aragvi Dusheti

Aragvi Dusheti

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Aragvi Dusheti(40%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction correct— Result: Aragvi Dusheti
Win probability
Zooveti
29%
Draw
31%
Aragvi Dusheti
40%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Zooveti
9
Aragvi Dusheti
99
Defence
Zooveti
27
Aragvi Dusheti
6
Momentum
Zooveti
0
Aragvi Dusheti
100
Danger (xG)
Zooveti
0.00
Aragvi Dusheti
3.60
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 0.49 xG for Zooveti and 0.93 xG for Aragvi Dusheti. Zooveti's projected xG of 0.49 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-1 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Aragvi Dusheti's defensive record — 2 clean sheets in 10 matches — combined with Zooveti's limited attacking output (3 clean sheets conceded in 10 games) supports the model's projection of at least one side keeping a clean sheet.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 1.42 — low attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.

xG for (Zooveti)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Aragvi Dusheti)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Zooveti)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Aragvi Dusheti)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ZoovetiZooveti
L
Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti
WWW

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Zooveti29%
Draw31%
Aragvi Dusheti40%

Aragvi Dusheti leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Aragvi Dusheti Backed to Win — Model Projects 0-1

Zooveti host Aragvi Dusheti in David Kipiani Cup. Zooveti have recorded WLWDLL in recent matches while Aragvi Dusheti arrive with a run of DDWLWW.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 0.93 expected goals for Aragvi Dusheti against 0.49 for Zooveti — a marginal but consistent advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency Zooveti have averaged 0.57 goals per game recently while Aragvi Dusheti have managed 1.79. Aragvi Dusheti have been the more prolific side — a factor the model weighs in its Aragvi Dusheti win projection.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk Zooveti have won 2 of their last 10 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Aragvi Dusheti carry the stronger underlying metrics, Zooveti's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Aragvi Dusheti are generating a consistent xG advantage — 0.93 projected against 0.49 for Zooveti. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.44 is the clearest signal in the model that Aragvi Dusheti are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: Aragvi Dusheti's projection depends on converting chances into goals. If Zooveti defend deep, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter, the match could end differently than the model projects — particularly if Aragvi Dusheti fail to score in the first half.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Zooveti 0Draws 01 Aragvi Dusheti
Avg goals: 2.0
25 Jun 2026
Zooveti
L02
Aragvi Dusheti

Recent form

Zooveti

Zooveti

L
vs Aragvi Dusheti
25 Jun 2026
02
Aragvi Dusheti

Aragvi Dusheti

W
vs FC Urartu
17 Jul 2026
43
W
@ Zooveti
25 Jun 2026
20
W
@ Gori
16 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Zooveti vs Aragvi Dusheti?

GoalVio's model predicts Aragvi Dusheti to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Zooveti vs Aragvi Dusheti?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Zooveti vs Aragvi Dusheti?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Zooveti vs Aragvi Dusheti?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more