Zonguldak Kömürsporvs
Düzcespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · Türkiye Kupası · 10/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zonguldak Kömürspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zonguldak Kömürspor 0-1 Düzcespor
Original prediction
Zonguldak Kömürspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.9% | 40.3% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.0% | 27.8% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.35 | 27.1% | 31.9% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Zonguldak Kömürspor
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Zonguldak Kömürspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80