Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ZOB Ahan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: ZOB Ahan 0-0 Paykan, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
ZOB Ahan 1-0 Paykan
Original prediction
ZOB Ahan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 31.4% | 42.0% | 10.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.70 | 33.8% | 33.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.8% | 24.6% | -10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.6 pts
Projected Score
ZOB Ahan 0–0 Paykan
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
ZOB Ahan
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
ZOB Ahan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZOB AhanDDLDL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PaykanDWDLD
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ZOB AhanPaykan
32.2Attack28.7
66.7Defence58.6
44.8Form31.0
50.2Power42.4
0.89xG0.52