Znicz Pruszkówvs
Tychy 71
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 9/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Znicz Pruszków · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Znicz Pruszków 1-1 Tychy 71
Original prediction
Znicz Pruszków
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 33.3% | 37.7% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.1% | 27.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.6% | 34.4% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Znicz Pruszków
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Znicz Pruszków has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60