Znicz Pruszkówvs
Stal Stalowa Wola
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Znicz Pruszków · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Znicz Pruszków 4-2 Stal Stalowa Wola
Original prediction
Znicz Pruszków
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 49.2% | 44.5% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.7% | 27.6% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.43 | 26.1% | 27.9% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Znicz Pruszków
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Znicz Pruszków has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40