Znicz Pruszkówvs
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Znicz Pruszków · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Znicz Pruszków 1-0 Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Original prediction
Znicz Pruszków
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.4% | 58.0% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.2% | 22.0% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.82 | 23.4% | 19.9% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Znicz Pruszków
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
Znicz Pruszków has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80