Znicz Pruszkówvs
Hutnik Kraków
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 9/6/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Znicz Pruszków · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Znicz Pruszków 4-2 Hutnik Kraków
Original prediction
Znicz Pruszków
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 44.6% | 38.0% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.8% | 27.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 29.5% | 34.8% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Znicz Pruszków
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Znicz Pruszków has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20