Znicz Pruszkówvs
Cracovia Krakow
COMPLETEDPoland · Cup · 9/2/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cracovia Krakow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Znicz Pruszków 1-1 Cracovia Krakow
Original prediction
Cracovia Krakow
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.85 | 15.3% | 36.4% | 21.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.1% | 25.4% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 62.5% | 38.3% | -24.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Cracovia Krakow
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Cracovia Krakow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40