Znamya Noginskvs
Ska-khabarovsk
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 9/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ska-khabarovsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Znamya Noginsk 0-4 Ska-khabarovsk
Original prediction
Ska-khabarovsk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.71 | 19.5% | 34.5% | 15.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.09 | 22.5% | 27.4% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 58.0% | 38.1% | -19.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Ska-khabarovsk
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Ska-khabarovsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40