Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zlín II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zlín II 0-3 Vítkovice
Original prediction
Zlín II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.0% | 38.6% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.2% | 26.9% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 30.8% | 34.4% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Zlín II
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Zlín II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Zlín IILLWDD
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
VítkoviceDLDWW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Zlín IIVítkovice
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form50.0
45.3Power56.2
1.46xG1.43