Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Teplice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zlin 1-3 Teplice
Original prediction
Teplice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 34.3% | 25.9% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.3% | 23.7% | -5.6 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 36.4% | 50.4% | 14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Teplice
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Teplice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZlinLWLLL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TepliceWWLLD
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ZlinTeplice
27.8Attack66.7
27.8Defence33.3
0.0Form55.6
22.9Power53.4
1.23xG2.23