Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zlin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zlin 1-2 Prostějov
Original prediction
Zlin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.9% | 49.7% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.8% | 24.7% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 4.49 | 20.3% | 25.6% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Zlin
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Zlin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZlinDWLLL
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ProstějovDDDDL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ZlinProstějov
66.7Attack61.1
61.1Defence38.9
66.7Form52.8
66.8Power51.6
2.58xG1.47