Zlaté Moravcevs
Pohronie
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 2. liga · 10/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zlaté Moravce · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zlaté Moravce 1-3 Pohronie
Original prediction
Zlaté Moravce
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 15:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.5% | 39.7% | -12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.0% | 28.0% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.85 | 23.5% | 32.3% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Zlaté Moravce
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Zlaté Moravce has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00