Zlaté Moravcevs
Petržalka
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 2. liga · 9/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petržalka · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Zlaté Moravce 0-0 Petržalka, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Zlaté Moravce 0-2 Petržalka
Original prediction
Petržalka
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 39.0% | 26.5% | -12.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.2% | 29.0% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 33.8% | 44.5% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.6 pts
Projected Score
Zlaté Moravce 0–0 Petržalka
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Petržalka
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Petržalka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Zlaté MoravceDWDWL
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
PetržalkaWLWDW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Zlaté MoravcePetržalka
37.0Attack66.7
74.1Defence77.8
44.4Form88.9
52.6Power77.5
0.65xG1.11