Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zira · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Zira are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (WDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Kapaz are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (WDDW), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 8 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Zira hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (56.6 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the Premyer Liqa, while Zira holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zira
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Zira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.50
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 0.50/0.00