GGOALVIO

Brazil · Carioca B2 · 10/13/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zinza · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Zinza are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rio de Janeiro are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WWLL), averaging 2.25 scored and 4.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Zinza hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (55.3 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.5% in the Carioca B2, while Zinza holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Zinza

Probability

67.5%

Model confidence

67.5%

Zinza has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ZinzaLLLWW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Rio de JaneiroWWLL

GF 9 · GA 19 · avg 2.25/4.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
ZinzaRio de Janeiro
39.4Attack36.4
75.8Defence30.3
48.5Form24.2
55.3Power32.6
1.88xG0.49
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