Zimbruvs
Sheriff Tiraspol
COMPLETEDMoldova · Super Liga · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sheriff Tiraspol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zimbru 2-1 Sheriff Tiraspol
Original prediction
Sheriff Tiraspol
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.88 | 31.3% | 36.2% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.5% | 24.6% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 39.1% | 39.1% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Sheriff Tiraspol
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Sheriff Tiraspol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80