Zimbruvs
Politehnica UTM
COMPLETEDMoldova · Super Liga · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zimbru · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zimbru 2-1 Politehnica UTM
Original prediction
Zimbru
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 71.3% | 65.0% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.14 | 17.5% | 19.6% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 8.04 | 11.2% | 15.4% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Zimbru
Probability
65.0%
Model confidence
65.0%
Zimbru has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZimbruWWWWL
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Politehnica UTMWDLWD
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ZimbruPolitehnica UTM
75.8Attack51.5
69.7Defence51.5
69.7Form45.5
70.5Power48.3
2.57xG0.82