Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petrocub · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Zimbru are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Petrocub are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Petrocub hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 67.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Super Liga, while Petrocub holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Petrocub
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
12.6%
Petrocub has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00