GGOALVIO

Moldova · Super Liga · 8/6/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zimbru · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Zimbru are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Milsami Orhei are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Zimbru hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.4% in the Super Liga, while Zimbru holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Zimbru

Probability

63.4%

Model confidence

63.4%

Zimbru has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ZimbruLLWDL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Milsami OrheiLDDWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ZimbruMilsami Orhei
61.9Attack23.8
66.7Defence52.4
52.4Form33.3
59.0Power38.7
2.02xG0.75
View match centre →