UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 12:36
Zimbru

Zimbru

Home
L
11
Full time
FC Noah

FC Noah

Away
D
Stadionul Zimbru
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

FC Noah36%
Zimbru36%
Draw28%
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Zimbru
36%
Draw
28%
FC Noah
36%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Zimbru
73
FC Noah
34
Defence
Zimbru
1
FC Noah
66
Momentum
Zimbru
0
FC Noah
33
Danger (xG)
Zimbru
1.80
FC Noah
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Zimbru)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (FC Noah)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Zimbru)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (FC Noah)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ZimbruZimbru
LDW
FC NoahFC Noah
DD

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Zimbru36%
Draw28%
FC Noah36%

FC Noah leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Zimbru head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at Stadionul Zimbru in mixed form (L), while FC Noah arrive in mixed form (D). Zimbru have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for FC Noah over 1 games.

The model rates Zimbru's attack at 73/100 against a 66/100 FC Noah defence, and FC Noah's attack at 34/100 against a 1/100 Zimbru backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Zimbru have limited home data in the engine at this stage. FC Noah have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Zimbru and FC Noah in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Zimbru to win with 37% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Zimbru 3588%, Draw 2816%, FC Noah 3596%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Zimbru

Zimbru

L
@ Sheriff Tiraspol
12 Jul 2026
24
D
@ Milsami Orhei
27 Jun 2026
00
W
@ Milsami Orhei
13 May 2026
10
FC Noah

FC Noah

D
@ CFR 1907 Cluj
7 Jul 2026
11
D
@ FC Urartu
14 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Zimbru vs FC Noah?

GoalVio's model predicts Zimbru to win with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Zimbru vs FC Noah?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Zimbru vs FC Noah?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Zimbru vs FC Noah?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more