Zimbruvs
Dacia-Buiucani
COMPLETEDMoldova · Super Liga · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zimbru · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zimbru 0-1 Dacia-Buiucani
Original prediction
Zimbru
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 68.9% | 73.2% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.59 | 19.6% | 16.8% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 7.79 | 11.5% | 10.0% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Zimbru
Probability
73.2%
Model confidence
73.2%
Zimbru has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZimbruWWWWW
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dacia-BuiucaniWLDDW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ZimbruDacia-Buiucani
75.0Attack44.4
69.4Defence55.6
72.2Form47.2
71.4Power49.3
2.34xG0.71