Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zimbru · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Zimbru are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while CSF Bălți are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Zimbru hold a 28.5-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 30.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.1% in the Super Liga, while Zimbru holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zimbru
Probability
75.1%
Model confidence
75.1%
Zimbru has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.00