Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Artsakh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Zimbru are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Artsakh are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Artsakh hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Artsakh holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Artsakh
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
13.2%
Artsakh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40