GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 5/13/2023, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Zibo Qisheng are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Qingdao Red Lions are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Qingdao Red Lions hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 49.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the League Two, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zibo QishengDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Qingdao Red LionsLW

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Zibo QishengQingdao Red Lions
10.6Attack35.0
54.5Defence71.7
13.6Form40.0
29.5Power49.9
0.41xG0.93
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