GGOALVIO

China · FA Cup · 5/30/2023, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Zibo Qisheng · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Zibo Qisheng are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Jinan Xingzhou are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Jinan Xingzhou hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the FA Cup, while Zibo Qisheng holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Zibo Qisheng

Probability

35.3%

Model confidence

35.3%

Zibo Qisheng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Zibo QishengLDLDD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Jinan XingzhouWWLDD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Zibo QishengJinan Xingzhou
11.1Attack33.3
77.8Defence66.7
22.2Form33.3
40.2Power45.3
1.23xG1.08
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