Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Zhetysu are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Ulytau are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulytau hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00