Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zhetysu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zhetysu 0-1 Kaspiy
Original prediction
Zhetysu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.4% | 36.4% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.0% | 27.6% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 30.6% | 35.9% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Zhetysu
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Zhetysu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZhetysuLWLLL
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
KaspiyLLWDD
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ZhetysuKaspiy
34.7Attack34.7
42.7Defence52.0
29.3Form34.7
38.2Power43.1
1.05xG1.10