Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zhetysu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Zhetysu 0-0 Kaisar, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Zhetysu 2-1 Kaisar
Original prediction
Zhetysu
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 38.1% | 37.2% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.6% | 29.9% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 32.3% | 32.9% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Projected Score
Zhetysu 0–0 Kaisar
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Zhetysu
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Zhetysu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZhetysuLLLWL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
KaisarLDWLL
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ZhetysuKaisar
32.1Attack28.4
44.4Defence54.3
27.2Form29.6
37.2Power40.3
0.93xG0.87