Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Irtysh · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zhetysu 1-0 Irtysh
Original prediction
Irtysh
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 35.7% | 34.5% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.6% | 29.2% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.7% | 36.2% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Irtysh
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Irtysh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZhetysuLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
IrtyshWLLWW
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ZhetysuIrtysh
34.8Attack33.3
40.6Defence53.0
27.5Form30.3
37.0Power41.8
1.04xG1.10