Zhetysuvs
FK Tobol Kostanay
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Tobol Kostanay · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Zhetysu 1-1 FK Tobol Kostanay
Original prediction
FK Tobol Kostanay
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.3% | 30.3% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.7% | 26.5% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.91 | 31.0% | 43.1% | 12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
FK Tobol Kostanay
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
FK Tobol Kostanay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40