Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Astana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Zhetysu are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.67 conceded, while FC Astana are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (WWDD), averaging 1.25 scored and 0.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the Premier League, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Astana
Probability
59.7%
Model confidence
59.7%
FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.67
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.25/0.25