Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Zhetysu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atyrau are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atyrau hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00