Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aktobe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Zhetysu are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Aktobe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Aktobe hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (38.4 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.7% in the Premier League, while Aktobe holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aktobe
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Aktobe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00