Premier LeaguePremier League
Saturday, 27 June 2026Last updated 10:07
Zhetysu

Zhetysu

Home
L
10
Full time
Aktobe

Aktobe

Away
LW
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Aktobe(40%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction missed— Result: Zhetysu
Win probability
Zhetysu
32%
Draw
28%
Aktobe
40%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Zhetysu
34
Aktobe
73
Defence
Zhetysu
27
Aktobe
27
Momentum
Zhetysu
0
Aktobe
50
Danger (xG)
Zhetysu
0.90
Aktobe
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Zhetysu)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Aktobe)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Zhetysu)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Aktobe)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ZhetysuZhetysu
LWL
AktobeAktobe
LWLD

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Zhetysu32%
Draw28%
Aktobe40%

Aktobe leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Zhetysu head into this in Premier League fixture in mixed form (L), while Aktobe arrive in mixed form (LW). Zhetysu have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Aktobe over 2 games.

The model rates Zhetysu's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Aktobe defence, and Aktobe's attack at 73/100 against a 27/100 Zhetysu backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Zhetysu have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Aktobe have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

The last 2 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Aktobe to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Zhetysu 3200%, Draw 2790%, Aktobe 4010%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Zhetysu 1Draws 01 Aktobe
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/2
5 Jul 2026
Zhetysu
L12
Aktobe
27 Jun 2026
Zhetysu
W10
Aktobe

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Frequently asked questions

Who will win Zhetysu vs Aktobe?

GoalVio's model predicts Aktobe to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Zhetysu vs Aktobe?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Zhetysu vs Aktobe?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Zhetysu vs Aktobe?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more