Zhenysvs
Kyzyl-Zhar
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zhenys · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Zhenys 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Zhenys 3-1 Kyzyl-Zhar
Original prediction
Zhenys
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.4% | 41.6% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.4% | 30.7% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.32 | 27.2% | 27.7% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Projected Score
Zhenys 0–0 Kyzyl-Zhar
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Zhenys
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Zhenys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZhenysLLWWW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kyzyl-ZharLLDDW
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ZhenysKyzyl-Zhar
31.9Attack36.1
63.8Defence51.4
42.0Form33.3
48.1Power42.1
1.01xG0.70