Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zhenys · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Zhenys 0-0 Atyrau, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Zhenys 1-2 Atyrau
Original prediction
Zhenys
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.9% | 42.4% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.7% | 32.6% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 4.08 | 22.3% | 25.1% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.6 pts
Projected Score
Zhenys 0–0 Atyrau
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Zhenys
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Zhenys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZhenysLWLLW
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AtyrauLLWLL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ZhenysAtyrau
33.3Attack24.0
59.0Defence62.7
41.0Form30.7
46.5Power41.7
0.81xG0.56