Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zhenys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Zhenys are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (WDDW), averaging 2.25 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Arys are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Zhenys hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (65.6 v 32.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.7% in the 1. Division, while Zhenys holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zhenys
Probability
84.7%
Model confidence
84.7%
Zhenys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 2.25/1.50
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00