Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Zhenys are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Arys are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Arys hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 64.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Cup, while Arys holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arys
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Arys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00