Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zhenys · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Zhenys are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Altay are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Zhenys hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.5% in the Premier League, while Zhenys holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zhenys
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
19.5%
Zhenys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40