GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 8/6/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotive Leipzig · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

ZFC Meuselwitz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lokomotive Leipzig are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotive Leipzig hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Regionalliga - Nordost, while Lokomotive Leipzig holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotive Leipzig

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Lokomotive Leipzig has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ZFC MeuselwitzLWWWD

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lokomotive LeipzigWWWDW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ZFC MeuselwitzLokomotive Leipzig
46.1Attack75.0
50.0Defence41.7
40.2Form58.3
47.4Power60.3
1.53xG1.72
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