Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grbalj · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Zeta 0-0 Grbalj, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Zeta 1-0 Grbalj
Original prediction
Grbalj
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 31.4% | 32.9% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.2% | 29.6% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 40.4% | 37.5% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Projected Score
Zeta 0–0 Grbalj
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Grbalj
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Grbalj has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ZetaLWLDD
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GrbaljWWWDL
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ZetaGrbalj
48.1Attack45.8
63.0Defence75.0
55.6Form62.5
57.5Power62.4
0.91xG0.97