GGOALVIO

Georgia · Liga 3 · 3/14/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Saburtalo II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Zestafoni are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Saburtalo II are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 2.33 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Saburtalo II hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (41.7 v 67.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.4% in the Liga 3, while Saburtalo II holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Saburtalo II

Probability

59.4%

Model confidence

59.4%

Saburtalo II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ZestafoniLL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Saburtalo IIDLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 2.33/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
ZestafoniSaburtalo II
36.8Attack52.9
47.1Defence80.4
33.3Form68.6
41.7Power67.3
0.60xG1.67
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